Semaglutide in Pakistan: real-world data
A 30-week Pakistan study reports HbA1c reductions of 1.86 points and 7.84 kg mean weight loss with semaglutide in routine outpatient care.
Why we wrote this. Real-world GLP-1 data from low-to-middle-income countries is rare. This Pakistani study is a first look at semaglutide in routine outpatient care outside high-income settings.
In this article (6 sections)
A letter published on 13 July 2026 in Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism (PMID 42443711) responds to a 30-week Pakistani multicentre study that tracked what happened when 217 adults with type 2 diabetes started biosynthetic semaglutide in routine outpatient care[1]. The exchange matters because the original study is one of the first prospective real-world datasets from a low-to-middle-income country on this class of drug, and the commentators add context the headline numbers alone do not capture.
The original investigation, by Hussain, Wahab, Qureshi, and colleagues, enrolled patients at several centres across Pakistan over a 30-week period[2]. It was non-interventional: participants received whatever doses their treating clinicians prescribed under routine outpatient conditions, not a fixed protocol. The primary endpoint was change in glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) from baseline to week 30.
What the numbers showed
HbA1c dropped from a mean of 9.27% at baseline to 7.41% at 30 weeks, a reduction of 1.86 percentage points[2]. Three-quarters of participants (76.6%) reached an HbA1c below 8.0% by end of study; 38.7% reached below 7.0%. On body weight, the mean loss was 7.84 kg, and 76.5% of participants lost at least 5% of their starting weight.
Adverse events were predominantly non-serious and gastrointestinal, a pattern consistent with the broader GLP-1 class profile. No severe hypoglycaemic episodes were recorded across the cohort. Treatment satisfaction and physical quality of life scores both improved over the observation period.
How those figures sit against other real-world datasets
A 2026 narrative review by Bloomgarden in the Journal of Diabetes compared randomised trial evidence against real-world outcomes for incretin therapies across 26 real-world studies[3]. In European and North American cohorts, real-world semaglutide typically produced 4.7 to 10.5 kg of weight loss over 6 to 12 months and HbA1c reductions of 1.0 to 1.3 percentage points. The Pakistan cohort's 7.84 kg and 1.86-point HbA1c reduction sit at the upper end of that band, which the commentators attribute in part to the higher baseline HbA1c (9.27%) compared with most Western datasets.
This is a well-established statistical artefact: patients with higher starting HbA1c tend to show larger absolute reductions, not necessarily because the drug works better in this population, but because there is more room to fall. Readers should hold that caveat when comparing across datasets.
What 'biosynthetic' semaglutide means here
The study uses the term biosynthetic semaglutide to distinguish the recombinant pharmaceutical product from any compounded or unverified alternative. In Pakistan, as in most markets, only the originator product holds regulatory authorisation. The EMA authorised semaglutide for type 2 diabetes in February 2018; the molecule is a GLP-1 receptor agonist produced by Novo Nordisk. For per-country regulatory status, see the semaglutide regulation pages.
The clarification matters in a resource-limited setting where grey-market analogues circulate. The Pakistan study enrolled patients on the authorised pharmaceutical product under physician supervision, which is the population the commentators are addressing[1].
What the commentary adds
Shahid and Khan's letter (PMID 42443711) contextualises the Pakistan findings within the global type 2 diabetes burden. The WHO reported in 2023 that more than half of people living with diabetes worldwide did not take any medication for their condition in 2022, with the lowest treatment coverage in low-income settings[4]. Against that backdrop, a 30-week real-world series showing the authorised GLP-1 agonist is workable in routine Pakistani outpatient care carries practical weight for local clinicians and health policymakers.
The commentators also flag what the study cannot answer: the 30-week observation window is short relative to the chronic course of type 2 diabetes, there is no comparator arm, and the non-interventional design means confounders were not controlled. Whether the HbA1c and weight improvements hold beyond week 30, and how long patients remain on therapy, are questions the dataset does not address.
What we do not yet know
Real-world evidence from low-to-middle-income countries on GLP-1 agonists is thin. The Pakistan multicentre study is a useful data point, but it does not tell us about longer-term persistence, dose escalation patterns in resource-limited settings, or how outcomes compare in populations with different comorbidity profiles. Cardiovascular outcomes data for semaglutide comes mainly from the SUSTAIN-6 and SELECT trials, both conducted in higher-income settings. Whether those cardiovascular benefits extend to the Pakistan outpatient population at similar rates is not established by this study.
Medical disclaimer
This article is for educational and journalistic purposes only and does not constitute medical advice. Semaglutide is a prescription medicine in most jurisdictions. Always consult a qualified healthcare professional before using any medicine. PeptideMethods.com does not sell, distribute, or facilitate the sale of any pharmaceutical product.
Frequently asked
What is biosynthetic semaglutide?
Biosynthetic semaglutide is the recombinant pharmaceutical form of semaglutide, a GLP-1 receptor agonist produced by Novo Nordisk. The term distinguishes the authorised medicine from compounded or unverified alternatives. It is the active ingredient in branded products authorised for type 2 diabetes in most countries.
What were the main results from the Pakistan multicentre study?
In 217 adults with type 2 diabetes followed for 30 weeks, HbA1c fell from 9.27% to 7.41% (a 1.86 percentage-point reduction). Mean body weight fell by 7.84 kg. Three-quarters of participants reached HbA1c below 8.0%. Adverse events were predominantly non-serious and gastrointestinal, consistent with the known profile of GLP-1 class drugs.
Why are the HbA1c reductions larger than in most European real-world datasets?
The Pakistan cohort started from a higher baseline HbA1c (9.27%), which means there was more room for absolute improvement. Patients with higher starting HbA1c routinely show larger point reductions regardless of treatment; this does not necessarily mean the drug performs differently in this population.
What are the limitations of this evidence?
The study ran for only 30 weeks, included no comparator arm, and used a non-interventional design. Confounders were not controlled. Whether the glycaemic and weight improvements hold beyond 30 weeks, and what longer-term persistence looks like in Pakistani outpatient settings, remain open questions.
Sources
- [1]Shahid F, Khan MF (2026): Comment on 'Real-World Evidence of the Effectiveness and Safety of Biosynthetic Semaglutide in Type 2 Diabetes: A Multicentre Study From Pakistan'. Diabetes Obes Metab. PMID 42443711Tier 1 · primary↩
- [2]Hussain A, Wahab MU, Qureshi S, et al. (2026): Real-World Evidence of the Effectiveness and Safety of Biosynthetic Semaglutide in Type 2 Diabetes: A Multicentre Study From Pakistan. Diabetes Obes Metab. PMID 42365987Tier 1 · primary↩
- [3]Bloomgarden Z (2026): Real-World vs. Randomized Trial Evidence for Incretin-Based Therapies: A Narrative Review. J Diabetes. PMID 42417199Tier 1 · primary↩
- [4]World Health Organization: Diabetes fact sheet (2023 figures). WHO, updated April 2024Tier 1 · primary↩
No revisions yet. First published .